Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2468.845772 2678.741756 2892.101087 3124.907597 3371.471152 3624.520496 3903.546617
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2139.994433 2451.650337 2780.975325 3153.711138 3562.653493 3996.475993 4490.279346
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1911.465148 2281.300797 2683.538474 3151.085169 3677.114646 4248.205650 4912.590017
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1775.267460 2191.976243 2656.072533 3207.268452 3839.956825 4539.425929 5367.022154
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1619.660677 2064.644844 2571.294293 3185.039827 3902.415165 4708.489000 5676.573687
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1538.886835 2016.291210 2570.205428 3252.488664 4062.122995 4984.129711 6105.054205
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1443.984907 1943.215194 2533.116508 3271.400682 4160.108806 5184.948494 6445.116575
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1352.314440 1867.489900 2486.986071 3274.131166 4234.481451 5354.968821 6747.289542
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1222.292099 1735.996439 2365.506039 3178.394466 4184.341433 5372.498213 6865.108296
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1197.846332 1736.822502 2406.497769 3281.429558 4375.259222 5678.551142 7328.503524
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1159.465253 1716.800015 2419.012603 3347.254415 4519.548710 5928.420500 7725.617745
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1094.396647 1657.884260 2378.652837 3343.466565 4575.169247 6069.001452 7989.852525
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1018.305286 1581.498245 2313.773714 3307.293428 4590.298178 6161.428027 8198.699477
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 973.888110 1546.147102 2300.977018 3337.179380 4688.640289 6357.342558 8536.679627
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 920.455059 1495.320721 2265.001319 3334.441386 4743.479518 6497.968964 8806.000662
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 893.511923 1480.347622 2276.086169 3393.049721 4877.250080 6738.304332 9201.247023
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 839.476251 1423.633104 2227.688815 3369.862936 4902.620011 6840.171633 9422.111149
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 821.158662 1417.960981 2248.957606 3440.213942 5050.875598 7099.395231 9843.426007
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 787.244384 1387.400796 2233.965748 3459.936938 5131.373743 7271.576637 10154.826804
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 750.054026 1350.045058 2207.737777 3462.784412 5188.361224 7412.989196 10427.227037
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 683.804648 1264.888188 2109.925458 3362.930797 5104.206484 7368.405712 10458.404703
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 682.855868 1281.314941 2159.422890 3470.395385 5302.245166 7694.674560 10971.641650
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 670.752923 1279.396694 2181.595960 3539.031502 5447.602125 7952.561155 11397.798300